Determining the Yield of a Discounted Security -- Discounted securities, such as United States Treasury Bills (T-bills), commercial paper, repurchase agreements, etc., do not have a stated return as other bond instruments do (i.e. a return of X%). Discounted securities are purchased at a price less than the amount the investor will receive upon maturity and thus have a rate of return built into their pricing. For example, you purchase a $1,000, 13 week T-bill for $990 and in 13 weeks you will receive $1,000. The rate of return is calculated as:
- Formula: ([Selling Price - Purchase Price] / Purchase Price) x (365 days in a year / [days investment held]
- Example:
- ([$1,000 - $990] / $990) x (365 / [13 weeks * 7 days in a week])
- ($10 / $990) x (365 / 91)
- 0.01 x 4.01
- 0.0401 or 4.01% return
- Note: Some calulcations use a 360 day year rather than a 365 day year. Typically, you should use the following:
- 365 Day Year - T-bills
- 360 Day Year - Commercial Paper and Repurchase Agreements
- Formula - (assuming constant coupon payments):
- Present Value of Bond = Present Value of Coupon Payments + Present Value of Principal Payment
- PV of Bond (Present Value of An Annuity x Coupon Payment) + (Present Value of Single Sum x Principal Payment)
- Example 1 - 10% coupon bond with annual coupon payments. $1,000 par value and 3 years to maturity:
- First, determine your discount rate.
- What is your required return?
- Consider interest rates and returns of similar investments.
- Let's assume average inflation of 3% per annum and that a current Certificate of Deposit with a maturity of 3 years would return 4.5%. Assuming that the bond is a high quality bond with good liquidity and no expectation of default, a return of 5% - 7% may be appropriate. Or whatever you determine the appropriate required return to be.
- For our purposes, let's go with 7%.
- Now, determine the future value of your coupon payments
- First, determine present value interest factor (PVIFA). Using the discount rate determined above and the maturity of 3 years, use the standard Present Value of an Annuity Tables (can be found via Google search or in an accounting or finance textbook) to determine your PVIFA. For example find the 3 years on the left column and follow that over to 7% required return. The number is: 2.6243.
- Next, Determine your Coupon Payment
- Coupon Payment = quoted bond yield x par value of bond
- 10% x $1,000 = $100 per year
- Then, multiply your coupon payment by the PVIFA:
- $100 x 2.6243 = $262.43,
- This is the current value of the coupon payments over the three years (assuming that you require 7% return).
- Another way to think of it is that this is the most you should pay for the future value of the coupon payments in order to return 7% on them.
- Now determine the future value of your final principal payment (par value)
- First determine your Present Value Interest Factor (PVIF). Using the Present Value Interest Factor tables (again, a Google search or textbook may be helpful in finding these common tables). Find the 3 on the left and follow it over to the 7%, the number is 0.8163.
- The multiply the par value (amount you will receive at maturity) by the PVIF
- $1,000 x 0.8163 = $816.30
- This is the amount that the final payment is worth today (assuming a 7% required return)
- Another way to think of it is that this is the most you should pay for the future value of the final bond payment in order to receive a return 7% on that amount (remember that the cash flows from the bond interest payments are calculated above).
- Now Add the Present Value of the Coupon Payments and the Present Value of the Final Payment (Par Value)
- $262.43 + $816.30 = $1,078.73
- This is the maximum amount that you should pay for this bond in order to receive a return of 7%
- Example 2 - 10% coupon bond with semi-annual coupon payments. $1,000 par value and 3 years to maturity:
- Interest payments may be made more frequently than annually (as in the previous example). You can use the following to adjust the above calculation accordingly. Note that I will use semi-annual payments for this example but if it is quarterly just adjust everything by 4 instead of 2.
- Adjust the above by:
- When calculating the coupon payment divide the annual payment by the number of payments per year
- Annual coupon payments of $100 per above / 2 semi-annual payments in a year = $50 per payment
- $100 / 2 = $50
- Multiply the required rate of return by the number of periods in the year
- 7% required return x 2 semi-annual payments in a year = 14%
- 7% x 2 = 14%
- Multiply the number of periods to maturity (i.e. years) by the number of periods in the year
- For our purposes there are 2 semi-annual periods in a year, so
- 3 years x 2 = 6 periods
- Determine the new PVIFA using the annualized data
- For our purposes this is 6 periods at 6% per period (as determined above)
- Using the PVIFA tables noted above this yields a PVIFA of 4.917
- Calculate the PVIF using the new annualized required return and number of periods
- For our purposes this is 6 periods at 6% per period (as determined above)
- Using the PVIF tables noted above this yields a PVIF of 0.7050
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